The Impact of Growth in Greece on the Local Mortgage Market in 2026

Short answer:

The recovery of the Greek economy is gradually reviving the mortgage market. As financing becomes more accessible, more local buyers are able to enter the market, demand is growing, and this may support rising prices in sought-after areas.


 

How will the Greek economy's growth in 2026 affect the real estate market?

Greece’s macro and microeconomic data point to promising growth over the past five years, and the outlook remains optimistic. One of the key effects of Greece’s recovery from the crisis—notably the upgrade in its credit rating—is the growing influx of foreign investors placing their trust in Greek real estate. This effect is driving up demand, which is causing housing prices to rise. Buying a home in Greece is becoming increasingly attractive to foreign investors, thanks both to economic growth and the expected rise in property values. At the same time, the purchasing power of local Greeks is rising, thanks to the creation of more and more jobs and a decline in the unemployment rate, thereby increasing their purchasing power and ability to apply for a mortgage, “although many Greeks are still ‘sitting on the fence’ and reluctant to take out a mortgage due to rising interest rates.” Although the volume of construction in Greece has risen significantly in recent years, supply still lags behind demand, contributing to the continued upward trend in housing prices.

What about mortgages?

With the onset of the crisis, and following the “austerity plan” devised by the European Union, the option of taking out mortgages was virtually closed off to Greek citizens. If anything, citizens were “forced to sell” their apartments due to their inability to repay mortgage loans, so they certainly could not take out new loans. As the economy recovered, banks began to slightly ease the terms for housing loans and gradually open up this option, but the ability to obtain a mortgage from a bank in Greece remains extremely limited. It is important to remember that real estate prices are a combination of construction costs and financing, meaning the scale of construction and the ability to secure a mortgage. Once the financing component is compromised—that is, the Greek public’s ability to take out a mortgage—there is a “glass ceiling” on real estate prices. Once the mortgage market fully recovers, and investors are also able to take out mortgages, the expectation is that real estate prices in the country will rise significantly.

One factor that has had a significant impact on the "contraction" of the mortgage market is the rise in interest rates. Mortgage rates in Greece are rising as a result of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) efforts to curb inflation. Since July 2022, the ECB has raised the eurozone’s key interest rate ten times in a row, causing mortgage rates in Greece to rise to 4.29% as of September 2023, up from 2.87% two years earlier.

This is illustrated in the following graph, which shows that in 2022, the mortgage market in Greece was estimated at 14.2% of GDP, compared to 16.9% of GDP the previous year. These figures indicate that real estate purchases in Greece are financed primarily with cash rather than through mortgages. According to data from the Bank of Greece, in the first three quarters of 2023, the volume of housing loans fell by 13.3% to €442.7 million. Another figure provided by the bank is that since the global crisis, approximately 80% of housing-related transactions have been made in cash, while only 20% relied on mortgage loans.

In summary, the fact that access to mortgages remains limited for Greeks is the main reason why the Greek market is far from reaching its full potential. Once access becomes more widespread, prices are expected to rise significantly.

Data as of 2025

As of 2025, the average interest rate on new mortgages in Greece ranges from 4.33% to 4.45%, according to first-quarter 2024 data. This figure is significantly higher than the 2.87% rate two years ago, demonstrating the significant impact of the European Central Bank’s interest rate policy. According to the Bank of Greece report, the average interest rate on new housing loans fell slightly in December 2024 to 3.59% for variable-rate loans, but the rate on fixed-rate loans remains at 4.20%–5.21%.

Mortgage Market Size and Terms

The market continues to pick up, particularly for foreign investors, and the government has eased mortgage eligibility requirements for EU residents, including the elimination of the minimum down payment requirement. European residents can obtain financing for up to 70%–80% of the purchase price, while other foreigners can typically obtain up to 70%. The repayment period ranges from 15 to 30 years, and the monthly payment depends on the interest rate and loan terms.

In 2024, the volume of housing loans in Greece declined slightly, though not at the dramatic rate seen in previous years, reflecting a market recovery. According to quarterly reports, the volume of housing loans fell by 13.3% in 2023, but in 2024, some stability was observed, although it remained below the peak levels of previous years.

Market Structure: Cash vs. Mortgages

About 80% of real estate transactions are still conducted in cash, but there is an upward trend in mortgage lending, particularly among foreign investors and European residents. The mortgage market continues to develop, but it remains underdeveloped compared to Western countries.

Palmo is changing the game – an Israeli mortgage for purchasing property in Greece

Palmo is changing the game for its customers: For the first time in Israel, you can take out an Israeli mortgage, in Hebrew, in just minutes—to purchase real estate in Greece.

Palmo offers mortgages secured by property in Greece, with attractive financing terms: up to 50% financing, terms of up to 20 years, and staggered payments based on the project’s progress.

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